Cal St. Bakersfield
Western Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.9#263
Expected Predictive Rating-8.0#295
Pace62.8#323
Improvement-1.7#245

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#291
First Shot-6.2#333
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#55
Layup/Dunks-2.0#252
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#28
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#331
Freethrows-3.1#344
Improvement-4.0#331

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#218
First Shot-2.1#254
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#114
Layups/Dunks+3.8#42
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#123
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#280
Freethrows-4.7#350
Improvement+2.3#69
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 30 - 40 - 10
Quad 49 - 99 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 129   South Dakota St. L 91-93 2OT 30%     0 - 1 -2.3 -2.8 +0.8
  Nov 13, 2019 59   @ Northern Iowa L 55-67 6%     0 - 2 -0.6 -6.8 +4.5
  Nov 19, 2019 78   @ San Francisco L 70-100 8%     0 - 3 -20.3 +0.8 -20.8
  Nov 23, 2019 2   @ Gonzaga L 49-77 1%     0 - 4 -5.7 -16.6 +11.0
  Nov 26, 2019 224   Sam Houston St. L 65-74 53%     0 - 5 -15.7 -12.3 -3.2
  Nov 29, 2019 301   Hampton W 70-57 69%     1 - 5 +2.1 -14.4 +16.5
  Dec 03, 2019 174   UC Santa Barbara L 60-64 40%     1 - 6 -7.4 -6.7 -1.4
  Dec 07, 2019 93   @ Mississippi L 67-83 10%     1 - 7 -7.5 +9.0 -18.7
  Dec 14, 2019 324   @ Idaho L 70-76 OT 56%     1 - 8 -13.4 -14.6 +1.9
  Dec 19, 2019 239   Montana St. W 74-72 55%     2 - 8 -5.3 +3.8 -8.9
  Dec 21, 2019 317   @ Cal Poly W 72-50 51%     3 - 8 +15.7 +5.5 +13.2
  Dec 29, 2019 17   @ Texas Tech L 58-73 3%     3 - 9 +2.0 -0.2 +1.0
  Jan 04, 2020 250   Grand Canyon W 69-62 59%     4 - 9 1 - 0 -1.3 -8.4 +7.5
  Jan 08, 2020 201   California Baptist L 75-83 47%     4 - 10 1 - 1 -13.0 -3.5 -9.6
  Jan 16, 2020 231   @ UMKC W 74-64 OT 31%     5 - 10 2 - 1 +9.1 +3.0 +6.2
  Jan 19, 2020 353   @ Chicago St. W 72-54 90%     6 - 10 3 - 1 -2.1 -2.1 +2.4
  Jan 23, 2020 255   Utah Valley W 58-57 OT 60%     7 - 10 4 - 1 -7.4 -21.8 +14.3
  Jan 25, 2020 211   Seattle L 79-86 49%     7 - 11 4 - 2 -12.6 +1.6 -14.1
  Jan 30, 2020 98   @ New Mexico St. L 57-61 10%     7 - 12 4 - 3 +4.2 -0.3 +3.6
  Feb 01, 2020 244   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 59-70 34%     7 - 13 4 - 4 -12.6 -13.6 +0.8
  Feb 06, 2020 201   @ California Baptist L 69-74 25%     7 - 14 4 - 5 -4.0 +3.2 -7.9
  Feb 13, 2020 353   Chicago St. W 64-54 96%     8 - 14 5 - 5 -16.1 -16.0 +0.9
  Feb 15, 2020 231   UMKC L 53-59 54%     8 - 15 5 - 6 -12.9 -15.1 +1.4
  Feb 20, 2020 255   @ Utah Valley L 58-72 37%     8 - 16 5 - 7 -16.4 -12.9 -3.8
  Feb 22, 2020 211   @ Seattle L 54-69 27%     8 - 17 5 - 8 -14.6 -12.4 -4.1
  Feb 27, 2020 244   UT Rio Grande Valley W 79-59 57%     9 - 17 6 - 8 +12.3 +2.6 +9.8
  Feb 29, 2020 98   New Mexico St. L 46-62 22%     9 - 18 6 - 9 -13.9 -14.8 -3.2
  Mar 07, 2020 250   @ Grand Canyon L 61-64 36%     9 - 19 6 - 10 -5.3 -12.5 +7.0
Projected Record 9 - 19 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10 100.0% 100.0
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%